ABC News is calling the 15th District here in Ohio for Republican Steve Stivers over incumbent Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy. With 92 percent of the precincts reporting, Stivers leads Kilroy, 54 percent to 41 percent.
Kilroy, who was swept in to office with the Obama win in 2008, was a faithful proponent of the “health care reform” legislation and the House Democratic agenda. She was also one of UJ’s favorites.
This is another race where a post mortem would be instructive. In 2008, Kilroy won with a 2300-vote margin, but there were many more votes cast in 2008 than in 2010. In fact, Stivers received fewer votes in 2010 than he did in his losing campaign in 2010. In view of that, you have to wonder how much of Kilroy’s defeat was due to the “enthusiasm gap” and the lack of turnout by her core constituency.
ABC also has called the race in our district, the 12th, and has concluded that Republican Pat Tiberi will be returned to Congress.